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Prediction for CME (2022-08-19T04:44:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-08-19T04:44ZCME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-08-22T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Prediction Method Note: Please enter the following information for your prediction: SWPC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: Resolution: Ambient settings: WSA version: CME input parameters Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s): Longitude (deg): Latitude (deg): Half-angular width (deg): Notes: Persistent negative polarity CH HSS influences, combined with effects from multiple CMEs that left the Sun over 18-19 Aug, are expected to increase the potential for G1 (Minor) storm levels on 21-22 Aug. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 23 Aug as CH HSS effects gradually wane.Lead Time: 30.28 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M SWAO) on 2022-08-20T17:43Z |
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